The role of government inevitably evolves over time. History, however, proves there has been an enduring role for government and its leaders dating back six hundred years to the Incas, two thousand years to the Romans, and even ten thousand years to the Paleo Indians.

The job of the local government manager will remain imperative as we look forward even one hundred years, because communities always will need leaders who can manage and distribute critical resources. But the job of the manager will change.

Exponential Data

One of the biggest changes will come from data. In the first ten thousand years of written history, human kind generated five exabytes of data – that’s five quintillion digital pieces of information. That number looks like this: 5,000,000,000,000,000,000. We now generate that amount of data every other day, as the world around us continually advances exponentially. The science taught to a child in elementary school today largely will be obsolete by the time that child graduates from college.

Today’s leaders still receive data from traditional sources like utility bills and library cards. But a blizzard of information also comes at managers from roads, street lights, cars, water, shirts, watches, their own homes, and even from outer space.

The Manager of the Future

Managers need a new framework to tame these data and harness them for good. Not only should managers rely on traditional staff to help with these data (like IT professionals, auditors, budget analysts, and performance managers), but they need to hire evaluators. Evaluators are uniquely trained to create research designs that will help interpret data and distinguish marginal practices from best practices.

A critical change for managers will need to go beyond staff, to one of attitude. The manager of the future will not need to know the right answer. She or he will need to know the right questions. The future manager will need to be willing to be wrong and try again. In essence, the manager of 2050 will need to become the innovator. Failure will be an expectation, and guided by ever-flowing data, the pursuit of improvement will become the definition of success.